Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newry City vs Institute Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2024/2025 The Showgrounds, Newry
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Deery C.
23' Event
McCay C.
67' Event
Kennedy M.

AI Match Summary

Institute in this NIFL Championship 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Institute.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Newry City
30%
Draws
35%
Institute
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Institute have won more games recently than Newry City.
  • Model gives Newry City a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Newry City Clean Sheet 14%
Institute Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Institute
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Newry City
1:3
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Institute
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Newry City
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Institute
0:2
Oct 12, 2024 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Newry City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newry City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Institute Compare

Top Goalscorer Deery C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCay C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 57 / 100
Institute 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Institute

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Newry City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Institute conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Institute
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
Page 1 of 6

Institute

(Away)
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Institute 38 13 12 13 62:63 51
8 Ballinamallard 38 13 5 20 55:62 44
9 Armagh 38 10 12 16 62:78 42
10 Newington FC 38 11 9 18 51:74 42
11 Ballyclare 38 11 7 20 52:85 40
12 Newry City 38 7 10 21 46:78 31
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2024/2025 (Relegation)