Sport Picks
Newry City vs Linfield
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup The Showgrounds, Newry 
Match Events
33'
33'
Morrison C.
59'
59'
Sub
Yates M. In: Fitzpatrick M.
Out: Yates M.
59'
59'
Sub
Allen C. In: Baird I.
Out: Allen C.
AI Match Summary
Linfield in this Irish League Cup tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Newry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Linfield have won more games recently than Newry City.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Newry City taking it.
- Linfield arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Linfield have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Newry City Clean Sheet 20%
Linfield Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newry City | Linfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 2, 2025 Irish League Cup
Newry City vs Linfield
2:3
Mar 16, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Newry City
6:0
Nov 4, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Linfield
0:3
Sep 30, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Newry City
6:1
Mar 18, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Newry City
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newry City Compare
Top Goalscorer McEnteggart E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dalton K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Linfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Morrison C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Baird I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newry City 40 / 100
Linfield 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newry City Linfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.
Newry City's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Linfield has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
Newry City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newry City VS Linfield
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Newry City
(Home) 28 Jul
Newry City
1 : 0 Bangor FC
02 Dec
Newry City
2 : 3 Linfield
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2 Drumaness
04 Nov
Newry City
1 : 0 Glenavon
07 Oct
Newry City
1 : 0 Portadown
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Newry City
1 : 0 Bangor FC
02 Dec
Newry City
2 : 3 Linfield
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2 Drumaness
04 Nov
Newry City
1 : 0 Glenavon
07 Oct
Newry City
1 : 0 Portadown
Page 1 of 4
Linfield
(Away) 28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7 Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1 Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2 Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2 Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2 Aberdeen
Page 1 of 7
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7 Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1 Linfield
09 Jul
Kalju
1 : 0 Linfield
07 Apr
Dungannon
1 : 3 Linfield
28 Mar
Glentoran
1 : 1 Linfield
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Crusaders-
TBD-
Oxford Sunnyside1
Ballymacash5
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Ballyclare1
Coagh Utd2
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Strabane Athletic-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Moyola5
Portstewart3
TBD-
Annagh-
Dollingstown-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Newry City3
Knockbreda0
TBD-
Portadown-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
Dergview3
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Larne-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery3
Banbridge2
1/16-finals
Institute0
Glentoran1
Crusaders3
Ballymacash1
Cliftonville4
Coagh Utd1
Loughgall2
Strabane Athletic3
Ards1
Dungannon2
Moyola3
Annagh0
Dollingstown0
Coleraine8
Armagh3
Carrick Rangers2
Newry City1
Portadown0
Warrenpoint0
Glenavon2
Harland & Wolff6
Dundela0
Linfield2
Queens University0
Ballymena1
Ballinamallard0
Newington FC3
Limavady1
Dergview3
Larne7
Bangor FC4
Lisburn Distillery1
1/8-finals
Glentoran2
Crusaders1
Cliftonville5
Strabane Athletic2
Dungannon0
Moyola1
Coleraine7
Armagh1
Newry City1
Glenavon0
Harland & Wolff3
Linfield6
Ballymena3
Newington FC0
Larne2
Bangor FC1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran2
Cliftonville1
Moyola0
Coleraine2
Newry City2
Linfield3
Ballymena2
Larne0
Semi-finals
Glentoran2
Coleraine1
Linfield1
Ballymena0
Final
Glentoran0
Linfield1
