Sport Picks
Newry City vs Linfield Prediction & H2H Stats
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2025/2026 The Showgrounds, Newry 
Match Events
33'
33'
Morrison C.
59'
59'
Sub
Yates M. In: Fitzpatrick M.
Out: Yates M.
59'
59'
Sub
Allen C. In: Baird I.
Out: Allen C.
AI Match Summary
Linfield in this Irish League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Linfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Linfield have won more games recently than Newry City.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Linfield taking it.
- Linfield arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Linfield have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Newry City Clean Sheet 16%
Linfield Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newry City | Linfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 2, 2025 Irish League Cup
Newry City vs Linfield
2:3
Mar 16, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Newry City
6:0
Nov 4, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Linfield
0:3
Sep 30, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Newry City
6:1
Mar 18, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Newry City
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newry City Compare
Top Goalscorer McEnteggart E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dalton K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Linfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Morrison C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Baird I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newry City 23 / 100
Linfield 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newry City Linfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Linfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Newry City scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.
Newry City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Linfield let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Newry City VS Linfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Newry City
(Home) 25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2 Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2 Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3 Newry City
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2 Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4 Glenavon
Page 1 of 4
Linfield
(Away) 25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3 Linfield
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1 Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1 Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3 Linfield
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1 Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1 Linfield
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2 Linfield
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7 Linfield
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
