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Newry City vs Loughgall

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Own Goal
48' Event
Stewart D.
90' Event
Carroll J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Newry City and Loughgall finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loughgall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Newry City
35%
Draws
30%
Loughgall
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Newry City haven't matched Loughgall's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Newry City Clean Sheet 13%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Loughgall
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Loughgall
0:3
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Loughgall
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Loughgall
1:4
Feb 13, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Loughgall vs Newry City
0:0
Oct 21, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Loughgall vs Newry City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newry City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Loughgall Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carroll J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 30 / 100
Loughgall 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Loughgall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Loughgall has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Newry City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Loughgall
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 2
Newry City
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4
Glenavon
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Loughgall

(Away)
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
15 Aug
Institute
0 : 0
Loughgall
11 Aug
Loughgall
2 : 2
Newington FC
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