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Newry City vs Newington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship The Showgrounds, Newry
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newry City host Newington FC in the NIFL Championship. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Newry City have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Newington FC's 2 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Newry City have won 1 to Newington FC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2025, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.81 - 2.00) back Newington FC to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Newry City
30%
Draws
23%
Newington FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Newington FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Newry City a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newry City Clean Sheet 10%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Newington FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.48 2
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Newry City
3:2
Feb 7, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Newington FC
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Newington FC
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Newry City
3:3
Feb 3, 2024 Irish Cup
Newry City vs Newington FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 83 / 100
Newington FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Newington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Newington FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Newry City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Newington FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1
Dundela
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
Page 1 of 6

Newington FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2
Ards
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 11 6 4 1 25:14 22
2 Glenavon 11 6 3 2 26:14 21
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 11 6 1 4 20:8 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Warrenpoint 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
7 Institute 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Ballinamallard 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
9 Harland & Wolff 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
10 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Moyola 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 Loughgall 11 3 4 4 15:21 13
13 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
14 Strabane Athletic 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)