Sport Picks
Newry City vs Portadown
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup The Showgrounds, Newry 
Match Events
62'
62'
Newell L.
74'
74'
Chapman L.
AI Match Summary
Newry City in this Irish League Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portadown lately — more wins on the board than Newry City.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Portadown arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Newry City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Newry City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Newry City Clean Sheet 20%
Portadown Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newry City | Portadown |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Newry City vs Portadown
1:0
Apr 11, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Newry City
0:1
Mar 11, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Portadown
3:4
Dec 4, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Portadown
3:0
Oct 15, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Newry City
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newry City Compare
Top Goalscorer Newell L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Portadown Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newry City 31 / 100
Portadown 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newry City Portadown
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Newry City scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Portadown has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Newry City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Newry City VS Portadown
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Newry City
(Home) 02 Dec
Newry City
2 : 3 Linfield
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2 Drumaness
04 Nov
Newry City
1 : 0 Glenavon
07 Oct
Newry City
1 : 0 Portadown
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0 Knockbreda
Page 1 of 6
02 Dec
Newry City
2 : 3 Linfield
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2 Drumaness
04 Nov
Newry City
1 : 0 Glenavon
07 Oct
Newry City
1 : 0 Portadown
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0 Knockbreda
Page 1 of 4
Portadown
(Away) 25 Jul
Kilbarrack Utd
0 : 3 Portadown
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2 Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2 Portadown
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2 Portadown
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Kilbarrack Utd
0 : 3 Portadown
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2 Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2 Portadown
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2 Portadown
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Crusaders-
TBD-
Oxford Sunnyside1
Ballymacash5
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Ballyclare1
Coagh Utd2
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Strabane Athletic-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Moyola5
Portstewart3
TBD-
Annagh-
Dollingstown-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Newry City3
Knockbreda0
TBD-
Portadown-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
Dergview3
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Larne-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery3
Banbridge2
1/16-finals
Institute0
Glentoran1
Crusaders3
Ballymacash1
Cliftonville4
Coagh Utd1
Loughgall2
Strabane Athletic3
Ards1
Dungannon2
Moyola3
Annagh0
Dollingstown0
Coleraine8
Armagh3
Carrick Rangers2
Newry City1
Portadown0
Warrenpoint0
Glenavon2
Harland & Wolff6
Dundela0
Linfield2
Queens University0
Ballymena1
Ballinamallard0
Newington FC3
Limavady1
Dergview3
Larne7
Bangor FC4
Lisburn Distillery1
1/8-finals
Glentoran2
Crusaders1
Cliftonville5
Strabane Athletic2
Dungannon0
Moyola1
Coleraine7
Armagh1
Newry City1
Glenavon0
Harland & Wolff3
Linfield6
Ballymena3
Newington FC0
Larne2
Bangor FC1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran2
Cliftonville1
Moyola0
Coleraine2
Newry City2
Linfield3
Ballymena2
Larne0
Semi-finals
Glentoran2
Coleraine1
Linfield1
Ballymena0
Final
Glentoran0
Linfield1
