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Newton Aycliffe vs Spennymoor

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Duxberry S.
49' Event
Thewlis J.
62' Event
Ramshaw R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spennymoor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Newton Aycliffe
20%
Draws
20%
Spennymoor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newton Aycliffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Spennymoor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Newton Aycliffe a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Newton Aycliffe Clean Sheet 20%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newton Aycliffe Spennymoor
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.92 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Newton Aycliffe vs Spennymoor
0:5
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Newton Aycliffe vs Spennymoor
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newton Aycliffe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Spennymoor Compare

Top Goalscorer Duxberry S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thewlis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newton Aycliffe 49 / 100
Spennymoor 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newton Aycliffe Spennymoor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newton Aycliffe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Newton Aycliffe found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (25 games).

Spennymoor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Spennymoor registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spennymoor
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newton Aycliffe

(Home)
20 Sept
Heaton Stannington
4 : 0
Newton Aycliffe
06 Sept
Newton Aycliffe
3 : 0
Blyth Town
01 Aug
Newton Aycliffe
2 : 1
Hebburn Town
22 Jul
Newton Aycliffe
1 : 3
Darlington FC
26 Oct
Stockton
2 : 1
Newton Aycliffe
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Spennymoor

(Away)
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1
Spennymoor
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