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Newton Aycliffe vs Spennymoor

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Shanks C.
39' Event
Anderson M.
44' Event
Harris W.

AI Match Summary

Spennymoor in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spennymoor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Newton Aycliffe
20%
Draws
36%
Spennymoor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newton Aycliffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spennymoor lately — more wins on the board than Newton Aycliffe.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Newton Aycliffe Clean Sheet 20%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newton Aycliffe Spennymoor
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.92 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Newton Aycliffe vs Spennymoor
0:5
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Newton Aycliffe vs Spennymoor
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newton Aycliffe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Spennymoor Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shanks C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newton Aycliffe 36 / 100
Spennymoor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newton Aycliffe Spennymoor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spennymoor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Newton Aycliffe scored in 60% of their last 25 games.

Spennymoor let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Newton Aycliffe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spennymoor
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newton Aycliffe

(Home)
20 Sept
Heaton Stannington
4 : 0
Newton Aycliffe
06 Sept
Newton Aycliffe
3 : 0
Blyth Town
01 Aug
Newton Aycliffe
2 : 1
Hebburn Town
22 Jul
Newton Aycliffe
1 : 3
Darlington FC
26 Oct
Stockton
2 : 1
Newton Aycliffe
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Spennymoor

(Away)
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
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