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Newton Stewart vs Fort William

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Muir L.
38' Event
Muir L.
62' Event
Quigg D.

AI Match Summary

The Scottish Cup 2013/2014 game between Newton Stewart and Fort William finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newton Stewart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Newton Stewart
6%
Draws
90%
Fort William
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fort William

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Newton Stewart's 1 goals per match outpaces what Fort William have produced (0.88).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Fort William taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Scottish Cup 2013/2014 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%
Fort William Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newton Stewart Fort William
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 1 1
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 6 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2013 Scottish Cup
Newton Stewart vs Fort William
3:1
Sep 14, 2013 Scottish Cup
Fort William vs Newton Stewart
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newton Stewart Compare

Top Goalscorer Muir L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fort William Compare

Top Goalscorer Quigg D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newton Stewart 10 / 100
Fort William 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newton Stewart Fort William

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fort William conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Fort William has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Newton Stewart's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Newton Stewart VS Fort William
1 Goals Scored 0.88
6 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Livingston-
Brechin-
Arbroath-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brechin2
Arbroath0
East Fife-
Forfar Athletic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
East Fife1
Forfar Athletic2
Hibernian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ross County-
Dundee FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
East Stirlingshire-
TBD-
Rothes0
Threave Rovers3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Raith-
Dumbarton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cowdenbeath-
Culter3
Lossiemouth1
Fort William1
Newton Stewart3
Peterhead-
TBD-
TBD-
Berwick-
Stirling-
TBD-
TBD-
Whitehill Welfare-
Wick Academy6
Coldstream0
Selkirk1
Turriff United3
Inverurie Loco Works3
Burntisland Shipyard0
TBD-
Formartine Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alloa-
Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Partick-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airdrieonians-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Ayr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Preston Athletic4
Huntly3
TBD-
Queen's Park-
Elgin City-
TBD-
Forres Mechanics4
Keith5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunfermline-
Stenhousemuir-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Buckie Thistle4
Wigtown & Bladnoch3
TBD-
Annan-
Montrose-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalbeattie Star-
Edinburgh City4
Golspie Sutherland0
Civil Service Strollers0
Fraserburgh4
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Deveronvale5
Clachnacuddin0
Nairn County0
Linlithgow Rose2
Spartans2
Edinburgh University0
TBD-
Albion Rovers-
Inverness-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Morton-
Clyde-
TBD-
Glasgow University1
Gala Fairydean Rovers3
Cove Rangers-
TBD-
Vale Of Leithen0
Brora Rangers1
Auchinleck Talbot5
Girvan1
Hawick Royal Albert0
St Cuthbert Wand.1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stranraer-
St. Mirren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hamilton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee Utd-
1/64-finals
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Livingston-
Brechin-
TBD-
TBD-
Brechin-
East Fife-
TBD-
TBD-
Forfar Athletic-
Hibernian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ross County-
Dundee FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
East Stirlingshire6
Threave Rovers0
TBD-
Raith-
Dumbarton-
TBD-
TBD-
Cowdenbeath-
Culter6
Newton Stewart0
Peterhead1
Berwick2
Stirling4
Whitehill Welfare3
Wick Academy2
Turriff United4
Inverurie Loco Works2
Formartine Utd0
TBD-
Alloa-
Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Partick-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Airdrieonians-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Ayr-
TBD-
Preston Athletic3
Queen's Park4
Elgin City4
Keith0
TBD-
Dunfermline-
Stenhousemuir-
TBD-
Buckie Thistle0
Annan4
Montrose1
Dalbeattie Star0
Edinburgh City4
Fraserburgh6
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Deveronvale5
Linlithgow Rose3
Spartans0
Albion Rovers1
Inverness-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Morton-
Clyde3
Gala Fairydean Rovers0
Cove Rangers1
Brora Rangers4
Auchinleck Talbot4
St Cuthbert Wand.0
TBD-
Stranraer-
St. Mirren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hamilton-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee Utd-
1/32-finals
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
Livingston-
Brechin-
Arbroath-
East Fife-
Forfar Athletic-
Hibernian-
TBD-
TBD-
Ross County-
Dundee FC-
TBD-
East Stirlingshire0
Raith2
Dumbarton2
Cowdenbeath1
Culter2
Berwick4
Stirling3
Turriff United0
Inverurie Loco Works0
Alloa3
Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Partick-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Rangers3
Airdrieonians0
TBD-
Falkirk-
Ayr3
Queen's Park2
Elgin City3
Dunfermline5
Stenhousemuir6
Annan4
Montrose1
Fraserburgh2
Motherwell-
TBD-
Deveronvale0
Albion Rovers1
Inverness-
TBD-
TBD-
Morton-
Clyde2
Brora Rangers1
Auchinleck Talbot4
Stranraer5
St. Mirren-
TBD-
Hamilton0
Queen of the South1
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee Utd-
1/16-finals
St Johnstone2
Livingston0
Brechin4
Forfar Athletic5
Hibernian1
Ross County0
Dundee FC0
Raith1
Dumbarton3
Berwick1
Stirling2
Alloa3
Celtic7
Hearts0
Partick0
Aberdeen1
Rangers2
Falkirk0
Ayr1
Dunfermline2
Stenhousemuir3
Fraserburgh0
Motherwell0
Albion Rovers1
Inverness4
Morton0
Clyde2
Stranraer5
St. Mirren5
Queen of the South2
Kilmarnock2
Dundee Utd5
1/8-finals
St Johnstone4
Forfar Athletic0
Hibernian2
Raith3
Dumbarton1
Alloa0
Celtic1
Aberdeen2
Rangers4
Dunfermline0
Stenhousemuir0
Albion Rovers2
Inverness4
Stranraer2
St. Mirren1
Dundee Utd2
Quarter-finals
St Johnstone3
Raith1
Dumbarton0
Aberdeen1
Rangers3
Albion Rovers1
Inverness0
Dundee Utd5
Semi-finals
St Johnstone2
Aberdeen1
Rangers1
Dundee Utd3
Final
St Johnstone2
Dundee Utd0