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Newton Stewart vs Gretna 2008 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newton Stewart host Gretna 2008 in the Lowland League. This has Gretna 2008 written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Newton Stewart at 0.86 goals for, 3.64 against; Gretna 2008 at 1.62 for, 2.66 against. Head-to-head, Newton Stewart have won 0 to Gretna 2008's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.31 - 3.00) back Gretna 2008 to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Newton Stewart
15%
Draws
64%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gretna 2008

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Newton Stewart haven't matched Gretna 2008's recent run of results.
  • Gretna 2008 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newton Stewart Gretna 2008
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.62
Goals Conceded 3.64 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Newton Stewart
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newton Stewart 10 / 100
Gretna 2008 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newton Stewart Gretna 2008

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gretna 2008 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Newton Stewart's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Newton Stewart went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newton Stewart VS Gretna 2008
1 Goals Scored 1.88
4.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Newton Stewart

(Home)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

Gretna 2008

(Away)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)