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Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Newton Stewart
15%
Draws
65%
Johnstone Burgh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johnstone Burgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Johnstone Burgh have won more games recently than Newton Stewart.
  • Model gives Johnstone Burgh a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Johnstone Burgh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Johnstone Burgh, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newton Stewart Johnstone Burgh
Matches Played 22 15
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.86 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.64 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Scottish Cup
Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh
1:3
Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
Johnstone Burgh vs Newton Stewart
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newton Stewart 10 / 100
Johnstone Burgh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newton Stewart Johnstone Burgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johnstone Burgh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johnstone Burgh has conceded goals in 80% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Newton Stewart's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: Newton Stewart stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newton Stewart VS Johnstone Burgh
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Newton Stewart

(Home)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

Johnstone Burgh

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
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Clyde -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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