Sport Picks

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Newtown vs Berriew FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2021/2022 Latham Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newtown play Berriew FC in the FA Cup 2021/2022. Newtown are favorites here. Recently, Newtown averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Berriew FC averaged 1.92 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. In past meetings, Newtown won 1, Berriew FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 4, 2021 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Newtown and 1.56 for Berriew FC. This points to a Newtown double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Newtown
15%
Draws
27%
Berriew FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Newtown picked up more points recently compared to Berriew FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Newtown Clean Sheet 15%
Berriew FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Berriew FC
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.74 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 FA Cup
Newtown vs Berriew FC
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 55 / 100
Berriew FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Berriew FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Newtown & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newtown attacking → ← attacking Berriew FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newtown scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Berriew FC let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Newtown went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Berriew FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 12
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00