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Newtown vs Buckley Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026 Latham Park, Newtown
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Guest B.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Bellis A.
62'
Evans R.

AI Match Summary

Buckley in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buckley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Newtown
15%
Draws
39%
Buckley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Newtown have won more games recently than Buckley.
  • Win probability leans Newtown's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Buckley
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Buckley
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Newtown
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Buckley vs Newtown
2:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Buckley vs Newtown
1:1
Jul 22, 2014 Club Friendly
Buckley vs Newtown
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Buckley Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 36 / 100
Buckley 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Buckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buckley conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Newtown scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Newtown went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Buckley
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 6

Buckley

(Away)
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)