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Newtown vs Buckley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Astley J. W.
90' Event
Hyne J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Newtown and Buckley finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Newtown
30%
Draws
19%
Buckley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Newtown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Newtown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Newtown Clean Sheet 13%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Buckley
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Buckley
2:0
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Buckley
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Newtown
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Buckley vs Newtown
2:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Buckley vs Newtown
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Astley J. W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hyne J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Buckley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 84 / 100
Buckley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Buckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buckley conceded in 91% of 35 recent games.

Newtown has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newtown's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Buckley
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
31 Oct
Newtown
2 : 0
Buckley
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Newtown
0 : 0
Bangor 1876
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

Buckley

(Away)
31 Oct
Newtown
2 : 0
Buckley
24 Oct
Buckley
0 : 2
Holyhead
17 Oct
Buckley
2 : 3
Colwyn Bay
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)