Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtown vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026 Latham Park, Newtown
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gallagher-Keenan T.
43' Event
Ozlu H.
51' Event
Smith T.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Newtown and Gresford finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Newtown
15%
Draws
0%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Newtown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Newtown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Newtown have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Newtown Clean Sheet 19%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Gresford
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Newtown
0:3
Mar 6, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Gresford
0:5
Oct 31, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Newtown
1:2
Jun 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Newtown vs Gresford
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher-Keenan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozlu H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresford let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Gresford's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Newtown scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Gresford
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
18 Apr
Ruthin Town
2 : 3
Newtown
11 Apr
Newtown
1 : 2
Llandudno FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
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Gresford

(Away)
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0
Gresford
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Gresford
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)