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Newtown vs Holyhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newtown host Holyhead in the Cymru North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Newtown at 1.6 goals for, 1.13 against; Holyhead at 1.55 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Newtown slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.06) point toward Newtown. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Newtown
30%
Draws
38%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newtown come out ahead of Holyhead on wins alone.
  • Newtown are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Holyhead
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Newtown
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru North
Newtown vs Holyhead
1:0
Oct 3, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 76 / 100
Holyhead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Newtown remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Newtown's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Holyhead
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
06 Nov
Ruthin Town
0 : 2
Newtown
31 Oct
Newtown
2 : 0
Buckley
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Newtown
0 : 0
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

Holyhead

(Away)
31 Oct
Holyhead
3 : 1
Penrhyncoch
24 Oct
Buckley
0 : 2
Holyhead
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 13 9 3 1 24:5 30
3 Mold Alexandra 13 8 3 2 32:16 27
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 14 7 3 4 27:24 24
6 Caersws FC 13 6 5 2 28:18 23
7 Bangor 1876 13 6 3 4 33:19 21
8 Guilsfield 14 4 6 4 20:19 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Denbigh 13 4 2 7 26:28 14
11 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
12 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
13 Ruthin Town 13 3 3 7 12:24 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 12 2 1 9 7:33 7
16 Penrhyncoch 13 0 1 12 6:40 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)