Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtown vs Llanuwchllyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hyne J.
47' Event
Hyne J.
69' Event
Boakye H.

AI Match Summary

Newtown in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Newtown
30%
Draws
19%
Llanuwchllyn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Llanuwchllyn haven't matched Newtown's recent run of results.
  • Newtown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Newtown have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%
Llanuwchllyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Llanuwchllyn
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Newtown vs Llanuwchllyn
7:0
Aug 28, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Llanuwchllyn
4:0
Oct 19, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanuwchllyn vs Newtown
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyne J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Boakye H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Llanuwchllyn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 85 / 100
Llanuwchllyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Llanuwchllyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanuwchllyn conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Newtown has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newtown found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Llanuwchllyn
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
31 Oct
Newtown
2 : 0
Buckley
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Newtown
0 : 0
Bangor 1876
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
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Llanuwchllyn

(Away)
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
24 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 3
Bala
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 1
Penrhyncoch
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 13 9 3 1 24:5 30
3 Mold Alexandra 13 8 3 2 32:16 27
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 14 7 3 4 27:24 24
6 Caersws FC 13 6 5 2 28:18 23
7 Bangor 1876 13 6 3 4 33:19 21
8 Guilsfield 14 4 6 4 20:19 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Denbigh 13 4 2 7 26:28 14
11 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
12 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
13 Ruthin Town 13 3 3 7 12:24 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 12 2 1 9 7:33 7
16 Penrhyncoch 13 0 1 12 6:40 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)