Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtown vs Mold Alexandra

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026 Latham Park, Newtown
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Berry T.
59' Event
McGoona M.
82' Event
Hyne J.

AI Match Summary

Mold Alexandra in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mold Alexandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Newtown
20%
Draws
40%
Mold Alexandra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newtown lately — more wins on the board than Mold Alexandra.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Mold Alexandra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Mold Alexandra
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Newtown
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyne J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Berry T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGoona M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 36 / 100
Mold Alexandra 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Mold Alexandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mold Alexandra let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Newtown went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Newtown scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Mold Alexandra
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
15 Aug
Newtown
1 : 1
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 6

Mold Alexandra

(Away)
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
21 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0
Buckley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)