Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hyne J.
19' Event
Astley J. W.
29' Event
Hyne J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Newtown and Penrhyncoch finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Newtown
15%
Draws
0%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newtown come out ahead of Penrhyncoch on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Newtown's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Newtown Clean Sheet 68%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Penrhyncoch
5:0
Dec 5, 2025 Cymru North
Newtown vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Newtown
1:2
Sep 8, 2015 League Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Newtown
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyne J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Astley J. W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Penrhyncoch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 95 / 100
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Penrhyncoch's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Newtown scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Penrhyncoch has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Penrhyncoch
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 6

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 9 8 0 1 23:4 24
2 Mold Alexandra 9 6 2 1 23:11 20
3 Newtown 8 6 1 1 16:2 19
4 Bala 9 6 0 3 17:14 18
5 Porthmadog 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
6 Caersws FC 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
7 Bangor 1876 9 5 1 3 23:17 16
8 Guilsfield 9 3 4 2 15:12 13
9 Buckley 9 3 2 4 21:16 11
10 Llanuwchllyn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Rhyl 8 2 3 3 15:16 9
12 Denbigh 9 2 1 6 16:19 7
13 Ruthin Town 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
14 Holyhead 8 1 1 6 7:16 4
15 Gresford 8 1 1 6 5:21 4
16 Penrhyncoch 9 0 1 8 4:29 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)