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Newtown vs Pontyclun FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2005/2006 Latham Park
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Newtown host Pontyclun FC in the FA Cup 2005/2006. Newtown go into this one as the clear favorite. Newtown have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Pontyclun FC's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Newtown slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2005, ending 6:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.56) back Newtown to edge this. Newtown in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Newtown
40%
Draws
29%
Pontyclun FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Newtown has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pontyclun FC.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Cup 2005/2006 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Newtown Clean Sheet 15%
Pontyclun FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Pontyclun FC
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 14 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2005 FA Cup
Newtown vs Pontyclun FC
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 31 / 100
Pontyclun FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Pontyclun FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newtown scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Pontyclun FC let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Newtown went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pontyclun FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Llanelli3
TNS4
Lex Glyndwr XI0
Porthmadog0
Caernarfon3
Bala4
Buckley3
Bangor City4
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Newtown6
Pontyclun FC0
Mold Alexandra0
Prestatyn5
Carmarthen Town4
Briton Ferry0
Cefn Druids3
Nefyn United1
Glantraeth FC2
Rhyl5
Pontypridd United1
Aberystwyth0
Goytre Utd6
Troedyrhiw FC3
Ely Rangers1
Cwmbran Town4
Port Talbot3
Bryntirion Athletic0
Caersws FC3
Croesyceiliog FC1
Llangefni3
Llanrwst United0
1/8-finals
Llanelli1
TNS0
Caernarfon4
Bala0
Bangor City2
Newtown1
Prestatyn1
Carmarthen Town2
Cefn Druids3
Rhyl5
Pontypridd United0
Goytre Utd5
Cwmbran Town1
Port Talbot3
Caersws FC1
Llangefni3
Quarter-finals
Llanelli3
Caernarfon0
Bangor City1
Carmarthen Town0
Rhyl5
Goytre Utd2
Port Talbot3
Llangefni0
Semi-finals
Llanelli0
Bangor City1
Rhyl3
Port Talbot2
Final
Bangor City0
Rhyl2