Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtown vs Rhyl

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026 Latham Park, Newtown
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hyne J.
36' Event
Hyne J.
37' Event
Jacobs L.

AI Match Summary

Newtown in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Newtown
20%
Draws
28%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rhyl have won more games recently than Newtown.
  • Model gives Newtown a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Newtown have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Rhyl
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Rhyl
6:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Newtown
2:5
Jan 25, 2020 FAW Welsh Cup
Newtown vs Rhyl
4:1
Dec 8, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Newtown vs Rhyl
1:2
Mar 26, 2017 Cymru Premier
Rhyl vs Newtown
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyne J.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Jacobs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 85 / 100
Rhyl 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Rhyl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Newtown went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Newtown found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Rhyl
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
15 Aug
Newtown
1 : 1
Guilsfield
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
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Rhyl

(Away)
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
22 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
0 : 0
Rhyl
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2
Caersws FC
08 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Rhyl
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)