Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Deportiva Venados

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neza FC play Deportiva Venados in the Liga Premier Serie A. Deportiva Venados are favorites here. Recently, Neza FC averaged 0.71 goals scored and 4.86 conceded. Deportiva Venados averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Neza FC won 0, Deportiva Venados won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.67 for Neza FC and 3.62 for Deportiva Venados. This points to a Deportiva Venados double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Neza FC

Draws

90%

Deportiva Venados

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Deportiva Venados has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Neza FC.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Deportiva Venados.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Premier Serie A provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Neza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neza FC	Deportiva Venados
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	9	21
Draws	3	8
Losses	18	5
Goals Scored	0.71	2.38
Goals Conceded	4.86	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.71	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.86	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Deportiva Venados vs Neza FC

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

7:1

Nov 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Neza FC vs Deportiva Venados

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.35

Deportiva Venados Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaneda F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Garcia C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neza FC 10 / 100

Deportiva Venados 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neza FC Deportiva Venados

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neza FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Deportiva Venados let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Neza FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Deportiva Venados lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neza FC VS Deportiva Venados

0.71 Goals Scored 2.38

4.86 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 50%

100% Over 2.5 50%

86% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17