Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Match Events

24'

26'

34'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neza FC host Dragones Toluca in the Liga Premier Serie A. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Neza FC have averaged 0.88 scored and 3.88 conceded recently, against Dragones Toluca's 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Neza FC have won 1 to Dragones Toluca's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.50, favoring Neza FC. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Neza FC

Draws

90%

Dragones Toluca

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dragones Toluca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Neza FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dragones Toluca.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Dragones Toluca.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Premier Serie A provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Neza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Dragones Toluca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neza FC	Dragones Toluca
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	4
Draws	3	3
Losses	18	23
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	3.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Neza FC vs Dragones Toluca

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

1:4

Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Dragones Toluca vs Neza FC

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neza FC 10 / 100

Dragones Toluca 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neza FC Dragones Toluca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neza FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Dragones Toluca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Neza FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Dragones Toluca lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neza FC VS Dragones Toluca

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

3.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 50%

75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17