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Ngoketunjia vs Les Astres

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ngoketunjia play Les Astres in the Elite Two. Les Astres are favorites here. Recently, Ngoketunjia averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Les Astres averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ngoketunjia won 0, Les Astres won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Ngoketunjia and 1.81 for Les Astres. This points to a Les Astres double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ngoketunjia
15%
Draws
60%
Les Astres
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Les Astres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Ngoketunjia picked up more points recently compared to Les Astres.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Ngoketunjia Clean Sheet 11%
Les Astres Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngoketunjia Les Astres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Elite Two
Les Astres vs Ngoketunjia
2:1
Feb 18, 2026 Elite Two
Ngoketunjia vs Les Astres
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngoketunjia 25 / 100
Les Astres 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngoketunjia Les Astres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Astres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Les Astres & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ngoketunjia attacking → ← attacking Les Astres

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ngoketunjia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Les Astres let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ngoketunjia went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Les Astres lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 38
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1APEJES Academy1492329:1129
2Atlantic1483316:1027
3Sable1473422:1324
4Les Astres1473422:1924
5Ngoketunjia1451819:2616
6Union Douala1444618:2516
7AS Fap1433820:2312
8Eding Sport1423915:349
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union SA1482418:1126
2Kumba1482414:1226
3Bamboutos FC1473419:924
4Avion Academy1472513:1323
5Bafmeng United1462615:1720
6Yafoot1452715:1517
7Tonnerre1451815:1816
8Bafoussam1422108:228