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Ngozi City vs Inter Star

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
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AI Match Summary

Ngozi City in this Primus League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ngozi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ngozi City
20%
Draws
10%
Inter Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ngozi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Inter Star haven't matched Ngozi City's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ngozi City taking it.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Star Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Inter Star
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Inter Star
2:1
Feb 2, 2026 Primus League
Inter Star vs Ngozi City
2:2
Nov 12, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Inter Star
1:2
May 3, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Inter Star
3:0
Aug 30, 2024 Primus League
Inter Star vs Ngozi City
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 58 / 100
Inter Star 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Inter Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ngozi City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ngozi City's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Inter Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Ngozi City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Inter Star
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ngozi City

(Home)
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
05 May
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Ngozi City
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Inter Star

(Away)
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
21 Aug
Inter Star
1 : 2
Never Give Up Academy
16 Aug
Vital'O
1 : 1
Inter Star
09 May
Le Messager Ngozi
3 : 0
Inter Star
27 Apr
Inter Star
1 : 2
Olympic Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Royal Vision 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Muzinga 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Vital'O 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bumamuru 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
11 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
12 Olympic Star 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Young Star 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)