Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ngozi City vs Muzinga

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
Ngozi City Logo

Ngozi City

2 - 1
FT
Muzinga Logo

Muzinga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ngozi City in this Primus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ngozi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ngozi City
20%
Draws
47%
Muzinga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Muzinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Muzinga have won more games recently than Ngozi City.
  • Muzinga are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 12%
Muzinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Muzinga
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Coupe du President
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
4:0
Apr 15, 2026 Coupe du President
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0
Jan 18, 2017 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 27 / 100
Muzinga 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Muzinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muzinga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ngozi City found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Muzinga let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ngozi City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Muzinga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ngozi City

(Home)
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
05 May
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Ngozi City
Page 1 of 6

Muzinga

(Away)
30 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
23 Aug
Le Messager Ngozi
2 : 1
Muzinga
14 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
08 May
Green Farmers
2 : 4
Muzinga
25 Apr
Muzinga
0 : 0
Kayanza United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)