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Ngozi City vs Royal Vision

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ngozi City host Royal Vision in the Primus League. This one's hard to separate. Ngozi City have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Royal Vision's 1.66 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Ngozi City have won 1 to Royal Vision's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.63, favoring Royal Vision. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ngozi City
20%
Draws
47%
Royal Vision
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Royal Vision

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Royal Vision lately — more wins on the board than Ngozi City.
  • Model gives Royal Vision a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 14%
Royal Vision Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Royal Vision
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Royal Vision
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primus League
Royal Vision vs Ngozi City
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Royal Vision
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Royal Vision
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Primus League
Royal Vision vs Ngozi City
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 19 / 100
Royal Vision 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Royal Vision

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royal Vision Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ngozi City found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Royal Vision let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Ngozi City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Royal Vision
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ngozi City

(Home)
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
05 May
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Ngozi City
Page 1 of 6

Royal Vision

(Away)
19 Sept
Young Star
1 : 5
Royal Vision
29 Aug
Royal Vision
2 : 1
Flambeau du Centre
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
15 Aug
Royal Vision
2 : 1
Musongati
09 May
Royal Vision
0 : 1
Vital'O
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 Muzinga 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Vital'O 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 Aigle Noir 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
5 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
6 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Olympic Star 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Bumamuru 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
11 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
12 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
16 Young Star 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)