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Nibbiano & Valtidone vs Fiorenzuola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Grasso D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Nibbiano & Valtidone and Fiorenzuola finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nibbiano & Valtidone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Nibbiano & Valtidone
30%
Draws
14%
Fiorenzuola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nibbiano & Valtidone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nibbiano & Valtidone come out ahead of Fiorenzuola on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nibbiano & Valtidone's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Nibbiano & Valtidone Clean Sheet 68%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nibbiano & Valtidone Fiorenzuola
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 20
Goals Scored 1.57 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.43 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Nibbiano & Valtidone vs Fiorenzuola
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nibbiano & Valtidone Compare

Top Goalscorer Grasso D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Fiorenzuola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nibbiano & Valtidone 95 / 100
Fiorenzuola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nibbiano & Valtidone Fiorenzuola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nibbiano & Valtidone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nibbiano & Valtidone's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Fiorenzuola let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Nibbiano & Valtidone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nibbiano & Valtidone VS Fiorenzuola
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nibbiano & Valtidone

(Home)
11 Oct
Nibbiano & Valtidone
4 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 1
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 2

Fiorenzuola

(Away)
10 Oct
Fiorenzuola
0 : 0
Piacenza
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)