Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional de Futbol

Nicaragua

1 - 1

Costa Rica

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Arteaga J.

46'

Sub

Aguilera Zamora B. In: Bran Flores A. J.

Out: Aguilera Zamora B.

46'

Sub

Arteaga J. In: Montes J.

Out: Arteaga J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Nicaragua

33%

Draws

27%

Costa Rica

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nicaragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Costa Rica average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Nicaragua's 0.63.
40% — that's where the model lands on Nicaragua taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Nicaragua Clean Sheet 68%

Costa Rica Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nicaragua	Costa Rica
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	6	10
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	0.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Costa Rica vs Nicaragua

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Sep 6, 2025 World Championship

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Jun 17, 2019 Gold Cup

Costa Rica vs Nicaragua

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Jan 17, 2017 Copa Centroamericana

Costa Rica vs Nicaragua

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Dec 16, 2015 Friendly International

Costa Rica vs Nicaragua

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua 50 / 100

Costa Rica 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nicaragua Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Costa Rica conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Nicaragua scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Nicaragua VS Costa Rica

0.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panama	6	3	3	0	9:4	12
2	Suriname	6	2	3	1	9:6	9
3	Guatemala	6	2	2	2	8:7	8
4	El Salvador	6	1	0	5	2:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Curacao	6	3	3	0	13:3	12
2	Jamaica	6	3	2	1	11:3	11
3	Trinidad & Tobago	6	1	4	1	7:6	7
4	Bermuda	6	0	1	5	4:23	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haiti	6	3	2	1	9:6	11
2	Honduras	6	2	3	1	5:2	9
3	Costa Rica	6	1	4	1	8:6	7
4	Nicaragua	6	1	1	4	4:12	4