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Nicaragua vs Cuba

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Nacional de Futbol, Managua
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Sanchez Lorenzo R. A.

AI Match Summary

Cuba in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nicaragua
30%
Draws
47%
Cuba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cuba haven't matched Nicaragua's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cuba taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 16%
Cuba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nicaragua Cuba
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Nicaragua
1:1
Mar 27, 2024 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
2:0
Nov 11, 2021 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
0:3
Oct 11, 2021 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Lorenzo R. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua 10 / 100
Cuba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nicaragua Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cuba conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Nicaragua's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Nicaragua remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nicaragua VS Cuba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nicaragua

(Home)
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
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Cuba

(Away)
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
11 Oct
Grenada
2 : 0
Cuba
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