Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nicaragua vs French Guiana

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Estadio Nacional de Futbol, Managua
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Lescot G. In: Thervilus E.
Out: Lescot G.
16' Event
Baal L.
Assist: Haabo J.
34'
Sub
Medina H. In: Montes J.
Out: Medina H.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Nicaragua and French Guiana finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nicaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nicaragua
33%
Draws
40%
French Guiana
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: French Guiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nicaragua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans French Guiana's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 17%
French Guiana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nicaragua French Guiana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs French Guiana
3:2
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
French Guiana vs Nicaragua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

French Guiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Baal L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haabo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua 28 / 100
French Guiana 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nicaragua French Guiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

French Guiana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: French Guiana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nicaragua found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nicaragua VS French Guiana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Nicaragua

(Home)
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
Page 1 of 6

French Guiana

(Away)
19 Nov
French Guiana
2 : 2
Belize
15 Nov
Belize
2 : 1
French Guiana
15 Oct
Nicaragua
3 : 2
French Guiana
10 Oct
French Guiana
2 : 3
Honduras
10 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
0 : 0
French Guiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica42207:18
2Suriname42119:47
3Guatemala42116:57
4Martinique41214:55
5Guadeloupe41121:44
6Guyana40135:131
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica42204:18
2Honduras42118:47
3Nicaragua42115:57
4Trinidad & Tobago41215:75
5Cuba40314:63
6French Guiana40134:71
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)