Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nice vs Le Mans

France France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bourabaa A.
Assist: Vercruysse J.
44' Event
Wahi E.
Assist: Diop S.
58'
Lauray A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nice and Le Mans finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nice
35%
Draws
32%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Mans come out ahead of Nice on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nice Clean Sheet 19%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Le Mans
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Le Mans
1:1
Oct 30, 2019 Coupe de la Ligue
Le Mans vs Nice
3:2
Mar 13, 2010 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Nice
0:1
Nov 1, 2009 Ligue 1
Nice vs Le Mans
1:0
Feb 14, 2009 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Nice
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourabaa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 32 / 100
Le Mans 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Nice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nice found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Le Mans
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 7

Le Mans

(Away)
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1
Le Havre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lille 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Monaco 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Rennes 4 3 1 0 8:5 10
4 Paris FC 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Lyon 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
6 Strasbourg 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
7 PSG 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
8 Lorient 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Brest 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Lens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
11 Angers 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
12 Troyes 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
14 Le Mans 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
15 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
16 Le Havre 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
17 Toulouse 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
18 Nice 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)