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Nice vs Le Mans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bourabaa A.
Assist: Vercruysse J.
44' Event
Wahi E.
Assist: Diop S.
58'
Lauray A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nice and Le Mans finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Nice
15%
Draws
7%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Nice have managed 1.27 goals a game lately — Le Mans are scoring more at 1.54.
  • Model gives Nice a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nice Clean Sheet 18%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Le Mans
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Le Mans
1:1
Oct 30, 2019 Coupe de la Ligue
Le Mans vs Nice
3:2
Mar 13, 2010 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Nice
0:1
Nov 1, 2009 Ligue 1
Nice vs Le Mans
1:0
Feb 14, 2009 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Nice
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourabaa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 85 / 100
Le Mans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nice scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Le Mans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Nice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Le Mans
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
30 Oct
Nice
5 : 2
Rennes
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
11 Oct
Nice
2 : 1
Strasbourg
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans

(Away)
31 Oct
Troyes
2 : 0
Le Mans
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3
Toulouse
10 Oct
PSG
3 : 1
Le Mans
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)