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Stadium Background

Nice W vs Thonon Evian W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Bouzid W.
29' Event
Siluvangi E.
84' Event
Barrier I.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Nice W and Thonon Evian W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nice W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Nice W
35%
Draws
40%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thonon Evian W come out ahead of Nice W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Nice W Clean Sheet 10%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Thonon Evian W
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Nice W
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Nice W
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Thonon Evian W
3:1
Oct 13, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Nice W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Siluvangi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrier I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzid W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice W 34 / 100
Thonon Evian W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nice W found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Thonon Evian W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nice W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nice W VS Thonon Evian W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice W

(Home)
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
22 Aug
Nice W
1 : 2
Lens W
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Thonon Evian W

(Away)
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
31 Jul
Thonon Evian W
4 : 4
Marseille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)