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Nielba Wagrowiec vs Gwardia Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bzdega T.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Nielba Wagrowiec and Gwardia Koszalin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nielba Wagrowiec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nielba Wagrowiec
11%
Draws
9%
Gwardia Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gwardia Koszalin come out ahead of Nielba Wagrowiec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nielba Wagrowiec's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 16%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nielba Wagrowiec Gwardia Koszalin
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Gwardia Koszalin
1:0
Oct 3, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:2
Mar 14, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:0
Aug 10, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Bzdega T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nielba Wagrowiec 75 / 100
Gwardia Koszalin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nielba Wagrowiec Gwardia Koszalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nielba Wagrowiec scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Gwardia Koszalin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Gwardia Koszalin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nielba Wagrowiec VS Gwardia Koszalin
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%