Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Pietilainen N. In: Hjelm A.
Out: Pietilainen N.
36'
36'
Saarelainen A.
46'
46'
Sub
Junnilainen T. In: Levy K.
Out: Junnilainen T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with HAPK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
15%
38%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NiemU
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and HAPK come out ahead of NiemU on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on NiemU taking it.
- HAPK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor HAPK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
NiemU Clean Sheet 20%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NiemU | HAPK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 3.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.42 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2025 Suomen Cup
NiemU vs HAPK
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
NiemU Compare
Top Goalscorer Nevalainen K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21
HAPK Compare
Top Goalscorer Saarelainen A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kasurinen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
NiemU 85 / 100
HAPK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
NiemU HAPK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NiemU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HAPK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
NiemU's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
HAPK lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
NiemU VS HAPK
0 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
NiemU
(Home) 11 Apr
NiemU
0 : 1 PEPO
06 May
NiemU
1 : 2 HAPK
12 Apr
NiemU
1 : 0 MyPa
29 Apr
Kyparamaki
3 : 1 NiemU
11 Apr
NiemU
0 : 1 PEPO
06 May
NiemU
1 : 2 HAPK
12 Apr
NiemU
1 : 0 MyPa
HAPK
(Away) 14 Apr
HAPK
1 : 6 SJK
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2 JPS Jyvaskyla
27 Sept
Vaajakoski
4 : 2 HAPK
21 Sept
Lahden Reipas
6 : 0 HAPK
13 Sept
HAPK
0 : 3 Vaajakoski
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vaajakoski
4 : 2 HAPK
21 Sept
Lahden Reipas
6 : 0 HAPK
06 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
3 : 1 HAPK
16 Aug
MyPa
3 : 0 HAPK
03 Aug
GrIFK
5 : 0 HAPK
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Gilla FC 2
Valtti 1
KelA Akatemia 0
Klubi 04 10
EsPa 2 0
EsPa 6
Malmin Ponnistajat 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 4
LPS 2
Keski-Uusimaa 1
GrIFK 1
Mariehamn 2
MuSa 3
Ilves 2 5
Tampere Utd 0
TPS 3
PoPo 2
Edustus IPS 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
JJK Jyvaskyla 3
Lahden Reipas 2
Lahti 1
Soho 0
Mikkelin 3
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JaPS Akatemia 0
Kiffen 5
FC Futura 0
JaPS 7
Santa Claus 1
JS Hercules 4
PonPa 1
AC Oulu 3
VJS 2
EPS 0
Toukolan Teras 2
NJS 3
NuPS 0
HJS 2
Julkis- ja yksityisalojen 1
SalPa 2
ToBK 1
Poxyt 2
TiPS 0
PK-35 6
SJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EPS 2 1
Atlantis 4
HPS 0
KaPa 4
VPV 0
KPV Kokkola 10
JBK 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
MuurY 0
Jippo 6
Lahti/69 1
KTP 5
Huima / Urho 4
LAUTP 0
ToU 0
Haka 8
KeuPa 1
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 4
PEPO 2
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 2 2
Gnistan/M35 0
Gnistan 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Polin Pallo 2
RiPS 5
LTU 0
Jazz Pori 3
OTP 1
VPS 2 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 2
GBK Kokkola 5
FC Kangasala 0
SalPa 2 2
Tampere Utd 3 0
TPV 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
MyPa 0
Kyparamaki 0
HAPK 2
FC Kiisto Vaasa 0
OLS Oulu 2
SJK U21 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Honka 3 1
EBK 2
FC Kontu 0
Honka 9
Tuisku 0
Ekenas IF 6
Lasten 0
Inter Turku 4
VIFK 2
Jaro 3
HauPa 4
Kajaanin Haka 1
VJS 2 1
PuiU Helsinki 3
HIFK 3
Atlantis 2 2
Abo IFK 2
NoPS 0
MaPS 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
Harma 1
Tampere Utd 2 3
TP-T 0
VPS 5
1/32-finals
Gilla FC 0
Klubi 04 6
EsPa 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
LPS 0
Mariehamn 1
Ilves 2 1
TPS 3
PoPo 2
KuPS Akatemia 3
Lahden Reipas 0
Mikkelin 1
HJK -
TBD -
Kiffen 0
JaPS 6
JS Hercules 1
AC Oulu 5
VJS 2
NJS 0
HJS 2
SalPa 1
Poxyt 0
PK-35 3
SJK -
TBD -
Atlantis 2
KaPa 1
KPV Kokkola 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
Jippo 1
KTP 2
Huima / Urho 0
Haka 4
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 0
JaPS 2 0
Gnistan 3
TBD -
Ilves -
RiPS 0
Jazz Pori 2
VPS 2 0
GBK Kokkola 1
SalPa 2 0
TPV 4
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
HAPK 2
OLS Oulu 4
SJK Akatemia 3
EBK 1
Honka 3
Ekenas IF 2
Inter Turku 1
Jaro 7
HauPa 0
PuiU Helsinki 0
HIFK 2
Abo IFK 4
Pallo-Iirot 6
Tampere Utd 2 1
VPS 2
1/16-finals
Klubi 04 8
EsPa 2
Mariehamn 3
TPS 2
KuPS Akatemia 1
Mikkelin 4
HJK 2
JaPS 1
AC Oulu 2
VJS 1
HJS 0
PK-35 1
SJK 3
Atlantis 2
KPV Kokkola 2
KTP 0
Haka 6
Union Plaani 0
Gnistan 3
Ilves 0
Jazz Pori 3
GBK Kokkola 2
TPV 0
KuPS 2
HAPK 1
OLS Oulu 4
Honka 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 5
HIFK 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
VPS 5
1/8-finals
Klubi 04 4
Mariehamn 3
Mikkelin 0
HJK 1
AC Oulu 2
PK-35 1
SJK 7
KPV Kokkola 0
Haka 3
Gnistan 2
Jazz Pori 2
KuPS 6
OLS Oulu 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 3
VPS 2
Quarter-finals
Klubi 04 0
HJK 4
AC Oulu 2
SJK 0
Haka 1
KuPS 2
Ekenas IF 2
Jaro 4
Semi-finals
HJK 1
AC Oulu 0
KuPS 2
Jaro 0
Final
HJK 1
KuPS 0
