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Nigde vs Bitlis 1916

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Yildirim E.
61' Event
Koca I.
87' Event
Cayir M.

AI Match Summary

Nigde in this 3. Lig Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nigde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nigde
15%
Draws
36%
Bitlis 1916
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigde have won more games recently than Bitlis 1916.
  • Model gives Nigde a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nigde Clean Sheet 16%
Bitlis 1916 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigde Bitlis 1916
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.48 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Nigde vs Bitlis 1916
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigde Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koca I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bitlis 1916 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cayir M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigde 39 / 100
Bitlis 1916 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigde Bitlis 1916

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigde's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nigde went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bitlis 1916 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 6 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nigde VS Bitlis 1916
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigde

(Home)
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
Page 1 of 6

Bitlis 1916

(Away)
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Bitlis 1916
3 : 1
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Karaman FK
0 : 3
Bitlis 1916
06 Sept
Bitlis 1916
2 : 0
Silifke
16 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Nigde 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
3 Karakopru 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
4 Mazidagi 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Erciyes 38 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
6 Kirsehir SK 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
7 Bitlis 1916 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
8 Adana Adaletgucu 4 2 0 2 10:5 6
9 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
10 Agri 1970 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
11 Silifke 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
12 Osmaniyespor 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
13 Karaman FK 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
14 Yozgat 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
15 Kirikkale FK 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
17 Adanaspor AS 4 0 0 4 2:18 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 0 0 4 0:12 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)