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Nigde vs Denizlispor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Karadag B.
41' Event
Cevir E.

AI Match Summary

Nigde in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nigde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nigde
35%
Draws
16%
Denizlispor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Denizlispor haven't matched Nigde's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nigde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nigde Clean Sheet 20%
Denizlispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigde Denizlispor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.44 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Denizlispor vs Nigde
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Nigde vs Denizlispor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigde Compare

Top Goalscorer Karadag B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cevir E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Denizlispor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigde 85 / 100
Denizlispor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigde Denizlispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denizlispor let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nigde scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nigde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigde VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigde

(Home)
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
Page 1 of 7

Denizlispor

(Away)
26 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Nigde
20 Apr
Orduspor 1967
1 : 0
Denizlispor
13 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Mardin 1969
06 Apr
Denizlispor
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
02 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Agri 1970
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)