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Nigelec vs Liberte

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Nigelec and Liberte finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nigelec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nigelec
35%
Draws
22%
Liberte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nigelec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nigelec come out ahead of Liberte on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nigelec Clean Sheet 68%
Liberte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigelec Liberte
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 13
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.45 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Nigelec
0:1
Jan 9, 2026 Super Ligue
Nigelec vs Liberte
3:2
May 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Nigelec
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Nigelec vs Liberte
1:0
Jul 2, 2024 Super Ligue
Nigelec vs Liberte
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigelec 42 / 100
Liberte 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigelec Liberte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liberte conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nigelec scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nigelec went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigelec VS Liberte
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigelec

(Home)
19 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Niima
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
21 Jun
Nigelec
3 : 2
AS ZAM
08 Jun
Nigelec
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
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Liberte

(Away)
18 Sept
Liberte
2 : 2
Espoir
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
18 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 1
Liberte
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)