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Nigeria U17 vs Uganda U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Alou J.
74' Event
Jabaar I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nigeria U17
20%
Draws
51%
Uganda U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda U17 haven't matched Nigeria U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uganda U17's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Nigeria U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nigeria U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U17 Uganda U17
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.12 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Nigeria U17 vs Uganda U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jabaar I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Uganda U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alou J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U17 18 / 100
Uganda U17 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U17 Uganda U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria U17's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Uganda U17 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nigeria U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U17 VS Uganda U17
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
Nigeria U17
2 : 3
Tanzania U17
11 May
Nigeria U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
06 May
South Africa U17
2 : 3
Nigeria U17
Page 1 of 7

Uganda U17

(Away)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U17 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Angola U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 6:12 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon U17 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Guinea U17 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Senegal U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Morocco U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)