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Nigeria U20 vs Burkina Faso U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 Charles Konan Banny Stadium, Yamoussoukro
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bagayogo A.
37' Event
Zongo M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nigeria U20
15%
Draws
50%
Burkina Faso U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burkina Faso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Burkina Faso U20 haven't matched Nigeria U20's recent run of results.
  • Burkina Faso U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nigeria U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burkina Faso U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burkina Faso U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nigeria U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Burkina Faso U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U20 Burkina Faso U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.29 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Nigeria U20 vs Burkina Faso U20
1:4
Aug 2, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Nigeria U20 vs Burkina Faso U20
0:2
Oct 18, 2024 Friendly International
Nigeria U20 vs Burkina Faso U20
0:1
Aug 30, 2019 African Games
Burkina Faso U20 vs Nigeria U20
2:0
Aug 16, 2019 African Games
Nigeria U20 vs Burkina Faso U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Burkina Faso U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagayogo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zongo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U20 10 / 100
Burkina Faso U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U20 Burkina Faso U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burkina Faso U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria U20 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Burkina Faso U20 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nigeria U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U20 VS Burkina Faso U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U20

(Home)
09 Aug
Nigeria U20
1 : 4
Burkina Faso U20
05 Aug
Ivory Coast U20
2 : 3
Nigeria U20
02 Aug
Nigeria U20
0 : 2
Burkina Faso U20
30 Jul
Nigeria U20
3 : 0
Togo U20
27 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 2
Ghana U20
Page 1 of 7

Burkina Faso U20

(Away)
09 Aug
Nigeria U20
1 : 4
Burkina Faso U20
05 Aug
Burkina Faso U20
2 : 0
Niger U20
02 Aug
Nigeria U20
0 : 2
Burkina Faso U20
30 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 1
Burkina Faso U20
27 Jul
Togo U20
1 : 3
Burkina Faso U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U20 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Morocco U20 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Algeria U20 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Libya U20 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Tunisia U20 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Sierra Leone U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Senegal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mauritania U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Guinea U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Liberia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea-Bissau U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Niger U20 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Benin U20 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Ghana U20 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Togo U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)