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Nigeria U20 vs Mauritius U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nigeria U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Nigeria U20
15%
Draws
8%
Mauritius U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nigeria U20 come out ahead of Mauritius U20 on wins alone.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria U20 taking it.
  • Nigeria U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Nigeria U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritius U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U20 Mauritius U20
Matches Played 33 20
Wins 17 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.45 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Nigeria U20 vs Mauritius U20
2:1
Sep 26, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mauritius U20 vs Nigeria U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U20 85 / 100
Mauritius U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U20 Mauritius U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauritius U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.

Nigeria U20 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nigeria U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U20 VS Mauritius U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U20

(Home)
09 Aug
Nigeria U20
1 : 4
Burkina Faso U20
05 Aug
Ivory Coast U20
2 : 3
Nigeria U20
02 Aug
Nigeria U20
0 : 2
Burkina Faso U20
30 Jul
Nigeria U20
3 : 0
Togo U20
27 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 2
Ghana U20
Page 1 of 7

Mauritius U20

(Away)
11 Oct
Eswatini U20
7 : 0
Mauritius U20
09 Oct
Botswana U20
1 : 0
Mauritius U20
07 Oct
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Mauritius U20
10 Dec
Madagascar U20
2 : 1
Mauritius U20
08 Dec
Mauritius U20
2 : 2
Lesotho U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Gambia U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Tanzania U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Congo U20 3
Rwanda U20 2
Central Africa U20 1
Cameroon U20 5
Kenya U20 3
Sudan U20 0
South Africa U20 2
Lesotho U20 3
Mauritius U20 3
Zambia U20 2
Guinea U20 1
Nigeria U20 2
Benin U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 2
Namibia U20 1
Ghana U20 5
Senegal U20 2
Morocco U20 0
Uganda U20 1
Egypt U20 2
Gabon U20 3
Angola U20 2
Chad U20 0
Mali U20 4
1/8-finals
Gambia U20 2
Ivory Coast U20 0
Congo U20 0
Cameroon U20 3
Kenya U20 0
Lesotho U20 1
Mauritius U20 1
Nigeria U20 4
Benin U20 1
Ghana U20 6
Senegal U20 1
Egypt U20 3
Gabon U20 2
Mali U20 3
1/32-finals
Gambia U20 -
TBD -
Algeria U20 1
Sierra Leone U20 2
Tanzania U20 5
Malawi U20 3
TBD -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Congo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rwanda U20 -
Central Africa U20 7
D.R. Congo U20 1
TBD -
Cameroon U20 -
Kenya U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U20 -
South Africa U20 -
TBD -
Mozambique U20 2
Lesotho U20 7
Mauritius U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Guinea U20 2
Togo U20 2
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Namibia U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghana U20 -
Senegal U20 1
Tunisia U20 0
TBD -
Morocco U20 -
Uganda U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Gabon U20 4
Equatorial Guinea U20 1
TBD -
Angola U20 -
Chad U20 7
Burundi U20 4
TBD -
Mali U20 -