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Nigeria U20 W vs South Korea U20 W

World World

World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hong Chae-Bin In: Choi Han-Bin
Out: Hong Chae-Bin
57'
Nam Seung-Eun
66'
Sub
Nkpa L. In: Okwuchukwu C.
Out: Nkpa L.

AI Match Summary

Nigeria U20 W in this World Cup Women U20 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nigeria U20 W
6%
Draws
4%
South Korea U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nigeria U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea U20 W haven't matched Nigeria U20 W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria U20 W taking it.
  • Nigeria U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nigeria U20 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Nigeria U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
South Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U20 W South Korea U20 W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 World Cup Women U20
Nigeria U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
1:0
Aug 14, 2022 World Cup Women U20
South Korea U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W
0:1
Aug 9, 2014 World Cup Women U20
South Korea U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W
1:2
Aug 19, 2012 World Cup Women U20
Nigeria U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabastine F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

South Korea U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U20 W 95 / 100
South Korea U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U20 W South Korea U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NGA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nigeria U20 W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: South Korea U20 W conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Nigeria U20 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U20 W VS South Korea U20 W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U20 W

(Home)
11 Nov
Nigeria U20 W
3 : 0
Ghana U20 W
08 Nov
Ghana U20 W
1 : 3
Nigeria U20 W
13 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
Nigeria U20 W
07 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
0 : 4
Nigeria U20 W
04 Sept
Germany U20 W
3 : 1
Nigeria U20 W
Page 1 of 6

South Korea U20 W

(Away)
09 Jun
South Korea U20 W
1 : 2
Finland U23 W
06 Jun
Brazil U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
03 Jun
Portugal U20 W
2 : 0
South Korea U20 W
15 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
12 Apr
Thailand U20 W
1 : 2
South Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia U20 W33004:09
2Mexico U20 W31114:34
3Cameroon U20 W31114:34
4Australia U20 W30030:60
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil U20 W330014:09
2France U20 W311114:64
3Canada U20 W311112:54
4Fiji U20 W30030:290
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U20 W33005:09
2USA U20 W32019:16
3Paraguay U20 W31022:93
4Morocco U20 W30030:60
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U20 W32018:46
2Nigeria U20 W32016:36
3South Korea U20 W31111:14
4Venezuela U20 W30122:91
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U20 W330013:19
2Austria U20 W32015:46
3Ghana U20 W31025:73
4New Zealand U20 W30032:130
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U20 W330017:29
2Netherlands U20 W31115:54
3Argentina U20 W31116:94
4Costa Rica U20 W30030:120
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)