Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo

Nigeria

1 - 0

Libya

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Youssef A.

57'

Al Wuheeshi M.

61'

Sub

Onyeka F. In: Chukwueze S.

Out: Onyeka F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nigeria in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Nigeria

35%

Draws

28%

Libya

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nigeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Nigeria lately — more wins on the board than Libya.
37% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria taking it.
Nigeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Nigeria here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%

Libya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nigeria	Libya
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	18	13
Draws	7	11
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	1.75	1.23
Goals Conceded	0.97	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Libya vs Nigeria

0:3

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria vs Libya

1:0

Oct 16, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations

Libya vs Nigeria

2:3

Oct 13, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria vs Libya

4:0

Jan 19, 2018 African Nations Championship

Libya vs Nigeria

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Dele-Bashiru F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Libya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria 68 / 100

Libya 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nigeria Libya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Libya conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Nigeria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria VS Libya

2 Goals Scored 0.67

1 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 33%

75% Over 2.5 33%

38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria

(Home)

10 Jun

Portugal

2 : 1

Nigeria

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

30 May

Jamaica

0 : 3

Nigeria

26 May

Nigeria

2 : 0

Zimbabwe

31 Mar

Jordan

2 : 2

Nigeria

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Libya

(Away)

31 Mar

Liberia

2 : 2

Libya

27 Mar

Libya

0 : 0

Niger

25 Nov

Palestine

1 : 0

Libya

15 Nov

Libya

1 : 0

Mauritania

13 Oct

Mauritius

0 : 0

Libya

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