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Nigeria W vs Zambia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Nigeria W Logo

Nigeria W

1 - 0
FT
Zambia W Logo

Zambia W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Oshoala A.
17'
Chileshe R.
40'
Demehin O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nigeria W
15%
Draws
34%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigeria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Nigeria W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nigeria W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nigeria W Clean Sheet 17%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria W Zambia W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
1:0
Jul 18, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
5:0
Jul 22, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
0:1
Nov 21, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
4:0
Oct 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zambia W vs Nigeria W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshoala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zambia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria W 30 / 100
Zambia W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria W Zambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Nigeria W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zambia W let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Nigeria W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria W VS Zambia W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria W

(Home)
09 Oct
Comoros W
0 : 2
Nigeria W
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
09 Aug
Cameroon W
1 : 0
Nigeria W
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
Page 1 of 6

Zambia W

(Away)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)