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Stadium Background

Nijmegen U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U19 Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nijmegen U19 host AZ Alkmaar U19 in the Divisie 1 U19. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Nijmegen U19 at 2.38 goals for, 2.72 against; AZ Alkmaar U19 at 2.58 for, 1.3 against. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar U19 slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 2.94) point toward AZ Alkmaar U19. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nijmegen U19
15%
Draws
36%
AZ Alkmaar U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nijmegen U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 have won more games recently than Nijmegen U19.
  • Nijmegen U19 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AZ Alkmaar U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Nijmegen U19 Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen U19 AZ Alkmaar U19
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.38 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Nijmegen U19
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
Nijmegen U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
Nijmegen U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
1:5
Sep 13, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Nijmegen U19
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen U19 38 / 100
AZ Alkmaar U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen U19 AZ Alkmaar U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nijmegen U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen U19 scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar U19 conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Nijmegen U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen U19 VS AZ Alkmaar U19
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Nijmegen U19
4 : 3
PSV U19
19 Sept
Nijmegen U19
6 : 3
De Graafschap U19
15 Sept
Nijmegen U19
5 : 4
Feyenoord U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Nijmegen U19
3 : 1
Zwolle U19
Page 1 of 6

AZ Alkmaar U19

(Away)
10 Oct
AZ Alkmaar U19
3 : 0
Feyenoord U19
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
1 : 0
Zwolle U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Nijmegen U19 5 4 0 1 21:15 12
3 AZ Alkmaar U19 6 3 1 2 7:3 10
4 Feyenoord U19 5 2 1 2 17:12 7
5 PSV U19 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
6 De Graafschap U19 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
7 Zwolle U19 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
8 Sparta Rotterdam U19 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
Promotion - Divisie 1 U19 (Play Offs)