Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nijmegen vs FC Volendam

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sandler P.
30'
Sub
Pereira B. In: Kaplan A.
Out: Pereira B.
39' Event
Lebreton N.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Nijmegen and FC Volendam finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nijmegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nijmegen
6%
Draws
4%
FC Volendam
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nijmegen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nijmegen taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nijmegen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 16%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen FC Volendam
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs FC Volendam
3:0
Feb 4, 2026 KNVB Beker
Nijmegen vs FC Volendam
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Nijmegen
2:3
Mar 1, 2024 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Nijmegen
2:5
Nov 5, 2023 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs FC Volendam
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lebreton N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onal B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

FC Volendam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 84 / 100
FC Volendam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen FC Volendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

FC Volendam has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nijmegen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS FC Volendam
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
18 Jul
Nijmegen
7 : 0
Al Fayha
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
08 Jul
Nijmegen
2 : 3
Duisburg
01 Jul
De Treffers
1 : 1
Nijmegen
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FC Volendam

(Away)
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2
FC Volendam
15 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1
FC Volendam
11 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 1
FC Volendam
05 Jul
RKAV Volendam
2 : 3
FC Volendam
23 May
FC Volendam
1 : 3
Willem II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV342734101:4584
2Feyenoord34198770:4465
3Nijmegen341611777:5359
4Twente341513659:4058
5Ajax341414662:4156
6Utrecht341581155:4253
7AZ Alkmaar3414101058:5152
8Heerenveen341491157:5351
9Groningen341461449:4548
10Sparta Rotterdam341271540:6243
11Sittard341161749:6339
12G.A. Eagles348141254:5338
13Excelsior341081643:5638
14Telstar349101549:5537
15Zwolle349101544:7137
16FC Volendam34881835:5532
17NAC Breda346111735:5829
18Heracles34542535:8519
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)