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Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia

Europe Europe

Europa League Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nijmegen host Levski Sofia in the Europa League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Levski Sofia have shipped 0.69 goals a game lately, while Nijmegen have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.7. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.94) point toward Levski Sofia. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Nijmegen
30%
Draws
54%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levski Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Nijmegen.
  • Win probability leans Levski Sofia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen Levski Sofia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.7 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 18 / 100
Levski Sofia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levski Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Levski Sofia conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Nijmegen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Levski Sofia registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS Levski Sofia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Feyenoord
Page 1 of 6

Levski Sofia

(Away)
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)