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Nijmegen vs PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nijmegen host PSV in the Eredivisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Nijmegen at 1.71 goals for, 1.87 against; PSV at 2.59 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Nijmegen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.94, favoring PSV. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nijmegen
35%
Draws
32%
PSV
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • PSV have won more games recently than Nijmegen.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%
PSV Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen PSV
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.71 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Nijmegen
2:3
Mar 3, 2026 KNVB Beker
Nijmegen vs PSV
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs PSV
3:5
Feb 1, 2025 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs PSV
3:3
Sep 14, 2024 Eredivisie
PSV vs Nijmegen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 29 / 100
PSV 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nijmegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

PSV let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Solid form: Nijmegen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS PSV
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
25 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Groningen
22 Oct
Din. Zagreb
2 : 4
Nijmegen
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Sittard
15 Oct
Nijmegen
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
10 Oct
Ajax
1 : 1
Nijmegen
Page 1 of 7

PSV

(Away)
25 Oct
PSV
1 : 1
Feyenoord
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1
PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
13 Oct
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
PSV
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 10 7 3 0 32:11 24
2 Ajax 10 6 3 1 29:13 21
3 PSV 10 6 2 2 28:13 20
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
6 Sittard 10 5 3 2 17:17 18
7 Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 18:13 15
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
10 Cambuur 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Nijmegen 10 2 5 3 17:18 11
13 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 10 0 2 8 10:32 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)