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Nijmegen vs Rennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nijmegen host Rennes in the Europa League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nijmegen have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Rennes's 1.83 scored and 1.76 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.94, favoring Rennes. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nijmegen
35%
Draws
25%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rennes lately — more wins on the board than Nijmegen.
  • Model gives Nijmegen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen Rennes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 56 / 100
Rennes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nijmegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Rennes has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Nijmegen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Rennes has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS Rennes
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
05 Nov
Nijmegen
3 : 1
Omonia
31 Oct
Heerenveen
1 : 0
Nijmegen
25 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Groningen
22 Oct
Din. Zagreb
2 : 4
Nijmegen
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Sittard
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
04 Nov
Rennes
0 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
30 Oct
Nice
5 : 2
Rennes
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
22 Oct
Juventus
2 : 2
Rennes
18 Oct
Paris FC
4 : 3
Rennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)