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Nijmegen vs Telstar Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Nijmegen Logo

Nijmegen

1 - 2
FT
Telstar Logo

Telstar

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Brouwer P.
Assist: Soualhia A.
24' Event
Mendes R.
Assist: Brouwer P.
46'
Sub
Nejasmic D. In: Sierhuis K.
Out: Nejasmic D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Telstar in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Telstar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nijmegen
35%
Draws
32%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nijmegen average 1.68 goals a game right now, well clear of Telstar's 1.55.
  • Win probability leans Nijmegen's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen Telstar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Telstar
1:2
May 2, 2026 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Telstar
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Nijmegen
2:2
Apr 5, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Nijmegen vs Telstar
1:1
Jan 3, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Nijmegen
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierhuis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Brouwer P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 42 / 100
Telstar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Telstar conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Telstar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS Telstar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Feyenoord
Page 1 of 7

Telstar

(Away)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)