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Nika Lepusnica vs Jedinstvo Surcin Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nika Lepusnica host Jedinstvo Surcin in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This one's hard to separate. Nika Lepusnica have averaged 1.72 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Jedinstvo Surcin's 1.1 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Nika Lepusnica slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.06 - 1.06) back Nika Lepusnica to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Nika Lepusnica
20%
Draws
19%
Jedinstvo Surcin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nika Lepusnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Nika Lepusnica average 1.72 goals a game right now, well clear of Jedinstvo Surcin's 1.1.
  • Model gives Nika Lepusnica a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nika Lepusnica Clean Sheet 20%
Jedinstvo Surcin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nika Lepusnica Jedinstvo Surcin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Nika Lepusnica vs Jedinstvo Surcin
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Nika Lepusnica
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nika Lepusnica 85 / 100
Jedinstvo Surcin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nika Lepusnica Jedinstvo Surcin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nika Lepusnica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nika Lepusnica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nika Lepusnica found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Jedinstvo Surcin conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nika Lepusnica VS Jedinstvo Surcin
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nika Lepusnica

(Home)
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Buducnost Dobanovci
0 : 0
Nika Lepusnica
15 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Usce
06 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 2
Nika Lepusnica
30 Aug
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Radnicki Obrenovac
Page 1 of 6

Jedinstvo Surcin

(Away)
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
0 : 2
Brodarac
28 Aug
BASK
1 : 3
Jedinstvo Surcin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nika Lepusnica 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Buducnost Dobanovci 6 3 3 0 11:1 12
3 Bezanija 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
4 Radnicki Obrenovac 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Usce 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
6 BASK 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
7 Zvezdara 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
8 Brodarac 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
9 Torlak 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Polet Dorcol 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
11 Padinska Skela 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
12 Bacevac 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
13 Jedinstvo Surcin 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
14 Prva Iskra 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)